Look at the Future
Look at the Future
By Ron Leach, Publisher
A leading software company and a respected market research/consulting firm
recently shared their vision on upcoming technological developments, market
trends, and anticipated consumer behavior that will influence the future of
digital photography. Corel Corporation's software solutions are popular
with both consumers and professional photographers, while Future Image focuses
its research expertise through conferences and information services. Both firms
share some common views as to how the ongoing evolution of digital imaging solutions
will impact those of us who create, share and enjoy photography in the months
and years ahead.
Here are some interesting forecasts with regard to the consumer, professional,
and business markets: By 2007, over 80% of "home image takers" will
have more than 5,000 photo and video files stored on their computers; by 2008,
these image takers will have uploaded images to at least three online services;
and by 2010, 80% of knowledgeable workers will actively manipulate their photo
or video images on a weekly basis.
Expectations for emerging technologies include the prediction that, by 2008,
the mainstream standard for point-and-shoot digital cameras will be models offering
10-megapixel resolution and 10X optical zoom capabilities. By late 2007, camera
phones in the U.S. are expected to feature the specs that were common not too
many years ago with point-and-shoot cameras: 3-megapixel resolution and 3X optical
zoom. As is typically the case when technological innovation spurs the introduction
of new product configurations, we can anticipate less standardization--not
more--as manufactures in various categories push the envelope with regard
to the utility and form factor of image --capturing devices.
It shouldn't be surprising to hear (given the increasing popularity of
RAW file formats) that we are already witnessing the end of JPEG as the overwhelming
imaging standard.
According to Blaine Mathieu, GM of Corel's Digital Imaging Business Unit,
software solutions must place a high priority on helping users confront the
growing "digital shoebox" dilemma so that their images are more
accessible and easier to find and share with others--both in the home and
work environments.
We will keep our eye on emerging trends and technologies of interest to digital
photographers, and update you regularly in the months ahead.
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